What Every AFC Team Could do in the NFL Draft
Free agency is all but done, so now all eyes turn to the draft. As unpredictable as the draft is, the best way to piece together what teams will do just one month from now is to look at their free agency moves. Some teams make their plans more obvious than others, but hopefully, after reading this you’ll have more of an understanding of how the draft will play out.
No. 1 Tennessee Titans- Cam Ward
Every report since the Titans secured the first pick has been about them loving Cam Ward. They invested heavily in the offensive line, signing Dan Moore Jr. and Kevin Zeitler, and they have nobody on the current roster who could realistically start week one. They’ve had every chance to get a veteran quarterback in free agency and have passed on every single one, so Ward at one is almost certainly a lock.
No. 2 Cleveland Browns- Everything
The Deshaun Watson trade will go down as the worst trade in NFL history, and if it weren’t for the Dallas Mavericks, this would be in the spotlight much more. The Browns had an elite roster just a few seasons ago, and by putting all their faith into Watson, who’s now out for the entirety of next season with an Achilles tear, the quarterback position along with the rest of the roster is in a dire place.
They’ll need a quarterback, but the second pick feels too rich for the next-best guy after Ward, so that’ll likely come in a trade-up in the back half of the first round. So, either Travis Hunter or Abdul Carter feels like the two most likely options, and I think the Browns should go with Hunter. The Browns have a great secondary, but Hunter is the type of player that rarely comes around. He could be one half of an elite duo with Denzel Ward, while also giving Cleveland dynamic playmaking as a receiver.
No. 4 New England Patriots- Tetairoa McMillon/Offensive Line
These are the only two options at four. The Patriots poured money into the defensive side of the ball, and even if they wanted to, odds are Hunter and Carter will be gone at this spot. I’d lean toward McMillon here, the Patriots' receiving corps is in desperate need of a legit No. 1 receiver. They spent two draft picks on receivers last year and didn’t get nearly enough production to justify those picks, so they’ll have to spend another high pick in hopes of helping Drake Maye’s development. If they do go offensive line, either Will Campbell or the surging Armand Membou, who’s increased their draft stock tremendously over the last few months, are options here.
No. 5 Jacksonville Jaguars- Mason Graham/Will Campbell
The Jaguars have done a nice job at filling all their needs with starting-caliber players so they can be flexible with the fifth pick. The Patrick Mekari signing leads me to believe they’ll lean toward Graham, because Mekari is a good guard, and teams just don’t bench those kinds of guys. Ezra Cleveland is at the other guard spot, who’s more replaceable, but the defensive line feels much more of an option. Having a front four of Josh Allen-Hines, Mason Graham, Arik Armstead and Travon Walker is nasty.
No. 6 Las Vegas Raiders- Ashton Jeanty/Offensive Tackle
All signs point to Jeanty going to Las Vegas. Pete Carroll has always held the run game in high regard, and there’s no better way to establish that team-building philosophy than by drafting one of the most electric college players of all time. If they elect to go elsewhere at six, offensive tackle seems likely. Campbell and Membou could be slotted at this spot.
No. 7 New York Jets- Tyler Warren/Offensive Tackle
The current starter at tight end for the Jets would be Jeremy Ruckert, who had 105 receiving yards last season. Warren is one of the best players in this draft and would unlock a much different area of the offense than Garrett Wilson would, giving their pairing a lot of potential. This is one of the deepest tackle classes we’ve had in a while, and the Jets could use one, so watch for that as well.
No. 13 Miami Dolphins- Tackle/Cornerback
This roster is in a worse place than I thought it was, but it needs help at tackle and corner. If the first batch of tackles are gone by this point, which is likely, guys like Josh Simmons and Kelvin Banks Jr. make a lot of sense. Cornerbacks like Jahdae Baron and Will Johnson make a lot of sense here, they’ll be two of the first corners taken. The rest of the roster is at least serviceable, I’d be shocked if they go anywhere but those two positions.
No. 14 Indianapolis Colts- Colston Loveland/Defensive End
Another team that could go tight end. If Warren falls, odds are it would be him at pick 14, if not, Loveland is the next best option. The Colts loaded up on their secondary in free agency and let defensive end Dayo Odeyingbo walk in free agency, so adding another pass rusher could complete this defense. Mykel Williams and Mike Green make sense here, but I like Shemar Stewart for Indianapolis the most. He’s an athletic freak, and the Colts are obsessed with only taking elite athletes.
No. 17 Cincinnati Bengals- Interior O-line/Safety
Cincinnati backed up the Brinks truck and paid Ja’Marr Chase and Tee Higgins to monster deals. It’s something it feels like they had to do but now puts them in a weird spot. If they don’t hit on their draft picks, especially this one, it could slam shut their Super Bowl window. They have so much cap space poured into Joe Burrow, Chase and Higgins, if they miss on their draft picks, they won’t be competitive.
Malaki Starks is one of the surest picks in the draft, an elite safety prospect who would make an immediate impact on a defense that needs safety help. This isn’t an amazing guard and center class, but Tyler Booker stands out as the best one. Tackles Grey Zabel and Kelvin Banks Jr. could flip to guard if needed, so those two guys could be in play here as well.
No. 20 Denver Broncos- Offensive Playmaker
On paper, this is the best defense in the league. They’re stacked at every spot, so it doesn’t make sense to go defense here. The three offensive players I like at this spot are Luther Burden III, Colston Loveland and Omarion Hampton. Three elite playmakers at three different positions. I’d personally go with Burden here, but any of them would do wonders for this offense.
No. 21 Pittsburgh Steelers- Quarterback/Running back
Odds are that the Steelers sign Aaron Rodgers as a one-year stopgap, but after that they have no future at the quarterback position. Shedeur Sanders and Jackson Dart seem the most likely, even with a Rodgers signing. If they want to go all in on this season with Rodgers, they could go running back. Omarion Hampton or Kaleb Johnson would make a great duo with Jaylen Warren.
No. 22 Los Angeles Chargers- Colston Loveland/Defensive End
Loveland to the Chargers is one of the most common mock draft pairings. The Michigan connection is obvious, but the Chargers desperately need a tight end. They signed Tyler Conklin as a receiving tight end, and he was fine last year, but nothing special. Will Dissly is the starter, who specializes as a blocker and isn’t much of a threat in the passing game.
Releasing Joey Bosa leaves a big gap in their edge room, so someone like Nic Scourton or Donovan Ezeiruaku makes a lot of sense. The defensive line room is still solid, but they could use some juice on the outside.
No. 25 Houston Texans- Offensive Tackle/Wide Receiver
It should 100% be an offensive tackle, and it would be borderline malpractice if it isn’t. Houston traded away Laremy Tunsil, and to solidify the offensive line, they signed Laken Tomlinson and Ed Ingram, who were both bottom-five in pass-blocking efficiency out of all the guards in the NFL. Cam Robinson recently signed to play tackle, who would be fine as a bridge starter, but was also one of the worst pass blockers in the back half of the season.
If they do go receiver, Burden makes sense, as well as Emeka Egbuka and Mathew Golden. They’ll be going into the season without Tank Dell for most of it, and losing Steffon Diggs to free agency/injury. Nico Collins and Christian Kirk are slotted as the two starters as of now.
No. 27 Baltimore Ravens- Defensive End/Cornerback
As is tradition, the Ravens didn’t do much in free agency this year. Sitting back and collecting compensation picks, while filling needs here and there, the Ravens do most of their roster building through the draft. Their biggest loss in free agency was corner Brandon Stephens, who massively struggled throughout the year. The back half of the first round is loaded with cornerbacks; guys like Shavon Revel, Maxwell Hairston and Trey Amos make a lot of sense. There are a couple of defensive ends that might be a little too early to take here, but if they do go defensive end, James Pearce makes the most sense.
No. 30 Buffalo Bills- Receiver/Linebacker
The Bills are one of the more unpredictable teams in the draft, their roster is so well-built that it’s hard to find one need that sticks out. Receiver is still probably their biggest need, even after drafting Keon Coleman, who was solid in his rookie year. Emeka Egbuka and Matthew Golden are different archetypes of receivers compared to what they have, which could make them fit in well. Matt Milano was injured most of the year last year, but when healthy he’s one of the best in the league, and Terrel Bernard is one of the most underrated players in the league. They don’t need another linebacker, but adding a young and dynamic athlete like Chris Paul Jr. or Carson Schwesinger makes a lot of sense, or even someone like Jalon Walker, who can play standup linebacker and rush the passer.
No. 31 Kansas City Chiefs- Guard/Defensive Tackle
An elite roster with two glaring holes. The Chiefs got dominated in the trenches, especially on the offensive side of the ball. They signed Jaylon Moore from San Francisco and have Kingsley Suamataia listed at guard, but he struggled and only played in spurts last season. This could be a Tyler Booker spot or another tackle that flips to guard. If they elect to go defensive line, guys like Walter Nolan and Derrick Harmon would fit in perfectly next to Chris Jones, and give him the best player he’s had next to him in a long time.